The WTA Finals are to be played in two round robin groups, with the best two players from each group moving on to the semifinals and the winner of those playing for the championship. 

A maximum of 1500 points are on the line, enough to shake up the rankings.

The group

The Chichen Itza group has a lower average age. They have six titles between them this year, including the Indian Wells, Madrid and Rome masters champions.

There is only one grand slam winner in this group in Iga Swiatek, who won the 2020 French Open.

This group seems to be marginally easier, with Sabalenka taking on the up and coming Sakkari and Badosa. Swiatek will be hoping to cement herself as a top player with more consistency.

Aryna Sabalenka (1)

Aryna Sabalenka at the 2021 US Open
  • 23 years old
  • Belarus
  • World number two
  • Two titles this year (including Madrid masters)
  • Two grand slam semi finals this year, at Wimbledon and the US Open
  • Hot favourite, big fish in a small pond

Aryna Sabalenka has completed her strongest season yet. Still she’ll be sore at being world number two and still never having reached a grand slam final. The last tournament of the year could give her the chance to realise her potential.

The Belorussian is always high risk and prefers a faster surface. The thin atmosphere and pressureless balls will create a slower and higher bounce, which doesn’t favour her.

Sabalenka has come from a poor showing at Moscow, in which she lost to Alexandrova.

4-2 against the rest of the Chichen Itza group (67%)

Won her last meeting with Sakkari at Abu Dhabi this year. 4-1 record overall.

Never played Swiatek.

Lost to Badosa at their last meeting in Cincinnati this year. 0-1 record overall.

Maria Sakkari (4)

Maria Sakkari at the 2021 US Open
  • 26 years old
  • Greece
  • World number six
  • No titles this year
  • 2 grand slam semi finals at Roland Garros and the US Open
  • Outsider

Sakkari has also achieved a career best season, just breaking into the top of the game.

The Greek has always had great physicality and defence, but just this improving her attack and creativity has allowed her to crack the top ten.

Withdrew from her last tournament, the Kremlin cup due to dizziness. Hopefully she has recovered for Guadalahara.

3-4 against the rest of the Chichen Itza group (43%)

Lost to Sabalenka at Abu Dhabi this year. 1-4 record overall.

Beat Swiatek at Ostrava this year. 2-0 record overall.

Never played Badosa.

Iga Swiatek (5)

Iga Swiatek at the 2021 US Open
  • 20 
  • Poland 
  • World number nine
  • Two titles this season (including Rome masters)
  • Three grand slam fourth rounds and one quarterfinal at Roland Garros this year
  • Outsider favourite

Swiatek aimed for, and achieved, a more consistent season in 2021. Trying to build on the 2020 French Open success and have more success outside of the slams, she won her first masters tournament in Rome.

The Pole is clearly proficient on clay, so it is logical to assume the conditions in Mexico will suit her.

Recently Swiatek was dealt an upset at Indian wells, losing to Jelena Ostapenko in the fourth round. She hasn’t played since.

0-3 record against the rest of the Chichen Itza group (0%)

Never played Sabalenka.

Lost to Sakkari in Ostrava this year. 0-2 record overall.

Lost to Badosa at the Tokyo Olympics. 0-1 record overall.

Paula Badosa (7)

Paula Badosa at the 2021 US Open
  • 23 
  • Spain 
  • World number ten
  • Two titles this year (including Indian Wells)
  • Olympic quarterfinalist and Roland Garros quarterfinalist
  • Outsider

Badosa has had something of a breakthrough season, showing potential for future success. 

The Spaniard is powerful, but solid across the board and the surface will suit her.

Her last tournament was Indian Wells, which she won, beating Gauff Krejcikova, Kerber, Jabeur and Azarenka. All of whom could be considered the favourite in each match.

2-0 record against the rest of the Chichen Itza group (100%)

Beat Sabalenka at their last meeting in Cincinnati. 1-0 record overall.

Never played Sakkari.

Beat Swiatek in Tokyo. 1-0 record overall.


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