Andrey Rublev (5)

-Russia

-24 years old

-World number five (career high)

-Defending 360 points

Intro and last year

Andrey Rublev plays Yannick Hanfmann at the 2021 Australian Open – Tennis Australia/ ROB PREZIOSO

Andrey Rublev matched his best grand slam performance at last year’s Australian Open, making the quarterfinal after beating Feli Lopez and Casper Ruud. He then lost to compatriot Daniil Medvedev in a tidy three sets. Rublev comes into 2022 at his career high ranking of world number five, and as the fifth seed. 

History at the event

The young Russian has played here the last five years, and his best result was last year’s quarterfinal.

In his first Australian Open in 2017, he lost in the second round to number one seed, Andy Murray, who he recently beat at the end of 2021 at the Mubadala WTC.

In 2018, Rublev defeated two big names in David Ferrer and Marcos Baghdatis, before losing to Grigor Dimitrov in round three.

In his third year in 2019, Rublev took an upset to Mackenzie McDonald in round one.

Rublev made the fourth round in 2020, beating David Goffin along the way, but was taken out by the current world number three Alexander Zverev.

And as mentioned in 2021, he beat Lopez and Ruud before losing to Medvedev in the quarterfinals.

Andrey Rublev during his quarter final match against Daniil Medvedev at the 2021 Australian Open – Tennis Australia/ MORGAN HANCOCK

Rublev has repeatedly shown steady progression at the Australian Open, it has always taken something special to beat him at this tournament. 

Record 10-5, 67% win rate.

Last season

2021 was a strong year for Rublev as he reached his career high of world number five. He got plenty of good results. With Russia and Europe he won the ATP Cup, Laver Cup and Davis Cup. 

Andrey Rublev at the 2021 ATP Cup – Tennis Australia/ Mark Peterson

He managed his best Australian Open with a quarterfinal, but didn’t get any further at any of the other slams. It was the fourth grand slam quarterfinal in his career, but Rublev has still never reached a semifinal. 

He won a title at the Rotterdam 500, but it was far from his five title 2020 season. 

Rublev may have climbed the ranks, but he plateaued in results. Which is not to say he had a bad 2021, just that he didn’t progress beyond his previous feats.

Build up and form

This year Rublev missed defending the ATP Cup, and elected to begin his 2022 season at the Australian Open itself. There’s no way to know what kind of form he’s in, but we know he hasn’t had any competition in his training since the Davis cup in early December last year.

Positives

Rublev at the 2021 Rotterdam 500

Rublev is young, at his peak and arguably has the best and biggest forehand on tour. He’s a super aggressive, high error rate attacking player, which suits the fast courts of the Australian Open.

Negatives

Rublev has plateaued and shown he is not on par with those ranked above him, and consistently not able to beat them. Last year showed that he may have reached his full potential.

Expectations

Rublev is capable of going deep into the Australian Open, and we should expect it of him, but the moment he faces someone really good, he’ll fail. We know he’s able to reach the Quarterfinals, and that seems the likely result, barring an upset, but if he’s improved or gets lucky, a semifinal is possible, though it’s doubtful he’ll go any further.

Rublev at the 2021 Mubadala WTC

Best possible: SF

Expected: QF

Worst possible: 4th round

Rublev winning the 2021 Rotterdam 500
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